Weekly Macro Minute

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GuideStone Capital Management Weekly Macro Minute

GuideStone® was originally established in 1918 to provide financial support and assistance for retired pastors and widows. Today, we continue to carry out that mission through the ministry of Mission:Dignity®. Here’s an encouraging devotional from one of our recipients:

Icon of a Bible
Icon of a BibleHope for the Desperate

Mark 5:21-43 (CSB)

Dulce Morillo authored this issue’s devotional. She served the Lord alongside her late husband for more than 12 years.

Mark 5:21-43 recounts two miracles: the healing of Jairus’s daughter and the woman who touched the mantle of Jesus. Both reveal that Jesus has divine power — nothing is impossible for him!

Jairus, like the sick woman, was desperate. In this devotional, we see that in Christ Jesus there is hope for the desperate, the troubled and the afflicted.

Read the entire passage. What caught your attention? What does it teach us about Jairus? About the sick woman? About the people in Jairus’ house?

Jairus, one of the rulers of the synagogue, fell at Jesus’ feet when he saw him and pleaded, “My little daughter is dying. Please come and put your hands on her so that she will be healed and live.”

But messengers came from his house saying, “Your daughter is dead. Why bother the teacher anymore?”

But Jesus overheard and said to Jairus: “Don’t be afraid. Only believe.” Then, Jesus went to Jairus’s house and gave life to his daughter. Hallelujah!

Likewise, the woman with the issue of blood was very upset and desperate. When she heard about Jesus, she said to herself: “If I just touch his clothes, I’ll be made well.” She believed in God’s power. She came up behind him, touched his cloak, and immediately her bleeding stopped. “Daughter,” he said to her, “your faith has saved you. Go in peace and be healed from your affliction.”

This story highlights the importance of faith in the midst of any crisis, even sickness and death. These two miracles demonstrate Jesus’ authority and His response to simple faith, to trusting in the divine power of God. That power is present and active in Jesus, because for those who believe, everything is possible! (Mark 9:23)

Where in your life do you need to hear Jesus say, “Do not be afraid; only believe”?

Want more devotionals? Our 40-day devotional book written by our Mission:Dignity recipients is available to order here.


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Across the Markets

Technology weakness drives market divergence
  • U.S. equities finished the week sharply divided as a renewed sell-off in large‑cap technology weighed on performance.
  • The S&P 500® fell 1.9%, while the Russell 2000® gained 1.0%.
  • Equal‑weighted equities outperformed their cap‑weighted counterparts, reflecting broader market participation beyond mega‑cap technology stocks.
AI trade faces renewed scrutiny
  • Investors rotated away from crowded AI infrastructure positions amid concerns over rising AI‑related costs.
  • Higher memory‑chip costs and reports of a delayed OpenAI IPO added pressure across many of the market’s technology leaders.
  • Despite the weakness, strong quarterly results from memory manufacturers highlighted continued demand in the AI ecosystem.
Treasury yields move lower
  • Treasury yields declined across the curve as falling oil prices and an in‑line inflation report helped moderate inflation expectations.
  • The 10‑year Treasury yield finished near 4.37%, while the 2‑year declined to roughly 4.08%.
Oil extends decline
  • WTI crude fell roughly 10% to near $72 per barrel, its lowest level since late February.
  • Improving supply expectations and normalizing traffic through the Strait of Hormuz weighed on prices despite lingering geopolitical uncertainty.
  • Gold declined for a fourth consecutive week as a firmer dollar and higher‑for‑longer rate expectations pressured precious metals.
European equities show resilience
  • European stocks held up relatively well despite weakness elsewhere, finishing little changed for the week.
  • Markets faced some late‑week pressure as the global technology sell-off spread internationally.
Japanese equities decline
  • Japanese stocks moved lower as weakness in AI‑related holdings weighed on broader market performance.
  • Sentiment was pressured by reports that OpenAI may delay its IPO.
Chinese equities finish lower
  • Chinese stocks declined as technology‑sector weakness rippled through Asian markets.
  • Investor sentiment remained cautious amid ongoing uncertainty around the AI trade.

In the Economy

Inflation remains elevated
  • The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge accelerated in May, with headline PCE rising 4.1% year over year and core PCE (ex. food and energy) increasing 3.4%.
  • Monthly gains in both headline and core inflation remained consistent with persistent price pressures.
  • Personal income and spending each rose 0.7%, reflecting continued consumer resilience.
Growth data improves
  • Business activity expanded for a third consecutive month as the S&P Global Composite PMI reached a five‑month high.
  • First‑quarter GDP was revised upward to 2.1%, signaling stronger economic momentum than previously reported.
Consumer sentiment rebounds modestly
  • Consumer confidence improved from record lows in June.
  • Lower gasoline prices provided some relief, though sentiment remained near historically depressed levels.

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This information is prepared by GuideStone Capital Management, LLC®, a controlled affiliate of GuideStone Financial Resources®. This material is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Diversification is not a guarantee against loss. This information does not represent any GuideStone® product. Special risks are inherent in international investing, including those related to currency fluctuations and foreign, political and economic events.

The material represented has been obtained from sources we consider reliable, but which we cannot guarantee. It is subject to change without notice and is not intended to influence your investment decisions. This information discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic, market or political conditions and should not be construed as research or investment advice.

All indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Index performance assumes no taxes, transaction costs, fees or expenses. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization-weighted equity index composed of approximately 500 U.S. companies representing all major industries. The index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of its constituents. “Standard & Poor’s®”, “S&P 500®”, “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and have been licensed for use by GuideStone.

The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2,000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The index is completely reconstituted annually to ensure that larger stocks do not distort the performance and characteristics of the actual small-cap opportunity set. Frank Russell Company ("Russell") is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. "Russell®" is a trademark of Frank Russell Company. Neither Russell nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data and no party may rely on any Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data contained in this communication. No further distribution of Russell Data is permitted without Russell's express written consent. Russell does not promote, sponsor or endorse the content of this communication. Index used with permission. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Index is a benchmark in oil pricing, representing the price of oil extracted in the United States, primarily from Texas and surrounding areas. WTI is widely used in the oil futures market for trading and contract settlements. The Index reflects the spot and futures prices for WTI crude oil as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchanges (NYMEX).

The S&P Global Composite PMI® is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index and tracks business trends across both manufacturing and service sectors. The Index is based on data collected from a representative panel of over 800 companies and follows variables such as sales, new orders, employment, inventories and prices. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in business activity while below 50 points to contraction.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) as a measure of consumer spending on goods and services among households in the U.S. The PCE is used as a mechanism to gauge how much earned income of households is being spent on current consumption for various goods and services.