Weekly Macro Minute

Share:
GuideStone Capital Management Weekly Macro Minute

GuideStone® was originally established in 1918 to provide financial support and assistance for retired pastors and widows. Today, we continue to carry out that mission through the ministry of Mission:Dignity®. Here’s an encouraging devotional from one of our recipients:

Icon of a Bible
Icon of a BibleA Missionary Came

Luke 10:2 (NIV)

Linda Weldon authored this issue’s devotional. She served the Lord for more than 40 years.

A Missionary came to speak

to my church

And she told tales of love;

my heart she did touch.

 

But then she told tales of such

terror, I just had to cry

They were stories of how many,

for You, had to die.

 

And I thought, “Lord, but for Your

grace, it could have been me,

Or some loved one of mine in a

country not free.

 

I thank You for those who feel

called in Your Name

To teach others in countries

where they go through such pain.

 

But their faith in the Lord

and their love for the people

Keeps them strong and courageous

though their efforts may seem feeble.

 

Help me to remember there’s one

thing I can do;

I can pray for them daily

as I visit with You.

How can you pray for missionaries this week as they serve in dangerous places around the world?

Want more devotionals? Our 40-day devotional book written by our Mission:Dignity recipients is available to order here.


This year’s GuideStone faith-based investing impact report is here!

See how Christian investing is transforming the world.

Read Now


Across the Markets

Stocks finish higher after volatile week
  • U.S. equities overcame a midweek selloff to finish the week higher.
  • The S&P 500® gained 1.1%, while the Russell 2000® advanced 0.1%.
  • Markets rebounded late in the week as strong cloud-computing results from Microsoft® and Amazon® helped ease concerns around AI-related capital spending and future returns.
July marked a difficult month for growth stocks
  • July featured a significant unwind in AI infrastructure and semiconductor leaders as investors reassessed crowded growth positions.
  • The S&P 500® finished nearly flat for the month, while small caps also posted losses.
  • Rising Treasury yields, Federal Reserve uncertainty and renewed Middle East tensions weighed on sentiment throughout the month.
Treasury yields rise to multiyear highs
  • Treasury yields moved higher as investors grappled with a more uncertain policy outlook and renewed inflation concerns.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield ended the week near 4.71%, while the 30-year reached its highest level since 2007.
  • Longer-term yields rose faster than shorter-term yields, resulting in a steeper yield curve.
Oil declines despite geopolitical tensions
  • WTI crude fell roughly 9% for the week, settling near $84 per barrel.
  • Ongoing Middle East tensions and shipping disruptions remained concerns, but diplomatic efforts helped limit further price increases.
European equities supported by earnings and growth
  • European stocks posted modest gains as stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and lower oil prices supported sentiment.
  • Economic growth in the euro area exceeded expectations during the second quarter.
Bank of England remains cautious
  • The Bank of England held rates steady while acknowledging continued inflation risks tied to higher energy prices.
Bank of Japan signals hawkish stance
  • Japanese policymakers left rates unchanged but increased concerns about inflation pressures.
  • The yen strengthened after intervention efforts from Japanese authorities.

In the Economy

Federal Reserve holds rates steady
  • The Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate at 3.50%–3.75%.
  • Multiple dissents in favor of a rate hike underscored ongoing concerns about inflation.
  • The Fed's cautious messaging reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy environment.
Economic growth moderates
  • Second-quarter GDP grew at a 1.5% annualized pace, slower than the first quarter but still positive.
  • Consumer spending, business investment and exports continued to support overall growth.
Inflation provides modest relief
  • Core PCE rose 0.1% in June and 3.3% year over year.
  • The report helped ease concerns that inflation was reaccelerating after recent volatility in energy markets.
Consumer sentiment improves
  • Consumer confidence increased for a second consecutive month.
  • Inflation expectations moved lower, providing a modest boost to sentiment.

Subscribe to the Weekly Macro Minute

This information is prepared by GuideStone Capital Management, LLC®, a controlled affiliate of GuideStone Financial Resources®. This material is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Diversification is not a guarantee against loss. This information does not represent any GuideStone® product. Special risks are inherent in international investing, including those related to currency fluctuations and foreign, political and economic events.

The material represented has been obtained from sources we consider reliable, but which we cannot guarantee. It is subject to change without notice and is not intended to influence your investment decisions. This information discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic, market or political conditions and should not be construed as research or investment advice.

All indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Index performance assumes no taxes, transaction costs, fees or expenses. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization-weighted equity index composed of approximately 500 U.S. companies representing all major industries. The index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of its constituents. “Standard & Poor’s®”, “S&P 500®”, “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and have been licensed for use by GuideStone.

The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2,000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The index is completely reconstituted annually to ensure that larger stocks do not distort the performance and characteristics of the actual small-cap opportunity set. Frank Russell Company ("Russell") is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. "Russell®" is a trademark of Frank Russell Company. Neither Russell nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data and no party may rely on any Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data contained in this communication. No further distribution of Russell Data is permitted without Russell's express written consent. Russell does not promote, sponsor or endorse the content of this communication. Index used with permission. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Index is a benchmark in oil pricing, representing the price of oil extracted in the United States, primarily from Texas and surrounding areas. WTI is widely used in the oil futures market for trading and contract settlements. The Index reflects the spot and futures prices for WTI crude oil as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchanges (NYMEX).

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) as a measure of consumer spending on goods and services among households in the U.S. The PCE is used as a mechanism to gauge how much earned income of households is being spent on current consumption for various goods and services.