Weekly Macro Minute

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GuideStone Capital Management Weekly Macro Minute

GuideStone® was originally established in 1918 to provide financial support and assistance for retired pastors and widows. Today, we continue to carry out that mission through the ministry of Mission:Dignity®. Here’s an encouraging devotional from one of our recipients:

Icon of a Bible
Icon of a BiblePrayer That Transforms

Romans 12:1-2 (NIV)

Sally Moore authored this issue’s devotional. She served the Lord alongside her late husband, Dick, for 46 years.

Prayer is more precious to me than ever before. I have learned that God hears my prayers, and he will answer. I believe in the eternal security of the believer, but even though I am saved by the blood of Jesus, sin blocks my relationship with the Father and hinders my prayers. Psalm 66:18 reads: “If I regard iniquity in my heart, the Lord will not hear me,” (KJV) suggesting that holding onto sin prevents God from listening.

My Father is still teaching me from Romans 12:1-2 that I need to give my body and mind to him because of all he has done for me. My life should be a living sacrifice, allowing God to transform me into a new person by changing the way I think. Then I will learn to know God’s will for my life, which is good and pleasing and perfect!

Many times, we as senior adults fall back on old ways and old traditions, failing to listen to what the Holy Spirit is saying. I have been guilty of this, and I want to be transformed by the renewing of my mind if there is something God wants me to understand!

God has provided for me in amazing ways. One kind friend allows me to live in a home without paying rent. God is so good to me and has blessed our family throughout 60 years of marriage. Another way he provides is through Mission:Dignity, for which I am very grateful. I can only praise God for his grace and provision.

What habits or distractions keep you from hearing God clearly? How can you create space to listen to his voice this week?

Want more devotionals? Our 40-day devotional book written by our Mission:Dignity recipients is available to order here.



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Across the Markets

Large-cap technology leads markets higher
  • U.S. equities finished mixed, with large-cap technology stocks driving gains.
  • The S&P 500® rose 1.2%, while the Russell 2000 declined 0.8%.
  • Growth outperformed value for a second consecutive week, narrowing the performance gap that has favored value stocks for much of the year.
Technology and communication services lead
  • Information technology gained 3.1%, while communication services rose 2.2%, supported by strong adoption of Meta’s consumer AI offerings.
  • Energy, utilities, financials and real estate lagged as higher rates and softer energy prices weighed on performance.
Treasury selloff pushes yields to multi-decade highs
  • Treasury yields moved sharply higher as strong economic data and inflation concerns fueled a bond-market repricing.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.16%, while the 30-year briefly moved above 5.50%, reaching levels not seen in decades.
  • Weak demand at Treasury auctions and lower foreign participation intensified pressure on long-term rates.
Oil prices retreat as Middle East tensions ease
  • WTI crude fell 3.7% to roughly $92 per barrel.
  • Improved geopolitical conditions reduced supply concerns and helped temper inflation expectations.
  • Commodities broadly softened as investors focused on growth and interest-rate developments.
Global bond yields move higher
  • Rising interest rates extended beyond the United States, with government bond yields reaching multi-year highs across several developed markets.
  • Investors continued to reassess inflation risks and central-bank policy expectations globally.
European equities gain despite higher rates
  • European stocks posted modest gains as stronger economic data offset pressure from rising yields.
  • Business activity improved across the region, with France returning to growth and broader eurozone activity exceeding expectations.
Japanese markets advance
  • Japanese equities moved higher as investors responded positively to technology-sector strength.
  • Currency volatility remained in focus as the yen weakened before stabilizing later in the week.
Chinese equities decline
  • Chinese stocks moved lower despite an extension of the U.S.–China trade truce.
  • Investors remained cautious amid slowing economic momentum and ongoing uncertainty around domestic growth.
South Korea stands out
  • South Korean equities outperformed regional peers, supported by strong demand for AI-related semiconductor products and expectations for a pause in further policy tightening.

In the Economy

Economic activity accelerates
  • The S&P Global Composite PMI rose to a 62-month high, reflecting strong expansion across both services and manufacturing sectors.
  • Production and new orders increased at their fastest pace in several years, highlighting continued economic momentum.
Growth strengthens, but inflation concerns persist
  • Businesses reported accelerating input costs, creating ongoing inflation pressures despite recent improvements in some price measures.
  • Stronger growth combined with higher costs contributed to the sharp rise in Treasury yields.
Fed officials maintain hawkish stance
  • Several policymakers reinforced expectations that additional tightening may be required if inflation remains elevated.
  • Markets also weighed reports that the administration may consider restrictions on diesel exports, which could add further inflation pressure.
Labor market remains resilient
  • Initial jobless claims and continuing claims both came in below expectations.
  • Employment data continues to show little evidence of broad labor-market deterioration.
Housing remains under pressure
  • Mortgage rates climbed back above 7%, reaching their highest level since early 2025.
  • Elevated borrowing costs continue to weigh on housing activity and affordability.

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This information is prepared by GuideStone Capital Management, LLC®, a controlled affiliate of GuideStone Financial Resources®. This material is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Diversification is not a guarantee against loss. This information does not represent any GuideStone® product. Special risks are inherent in international investing, including those related to currency fluctuations and foreign, political and economic events.

The material represented has been obtained from sources we consider reliable, but which we cannot guarantee. It is subject to change without notice and is not intended to influence your investment decisions. This information discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic, market or political conditions and should not be construed as research or investment advice.

All indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Index performance assumes no taxes, transaction costs, fees or expenses. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization-weighted equity index composed of approximately 500 U.S. companies representing all major industries. The index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of its constituents. “Standard & Poor’s®”, “S&P 500®”, “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and have been licensed for use by GuideStone.

The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2,000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The index is completely reconstituted annually to ensure that larger stocks do not distort the performance and characteristics of the actual small-cap opportunity set. Frank Russell Company ("Russell") is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. "Russell®" is a trademark of Frank Russell Company. Neither Russell nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data and no party may rely on any Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data contained in this communication. No further distribution of Russell Data is permitted without Russell's express written consent. Russell does not promote, sponsor or endorse the content of this communication. Index used with permission. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Index is a benchmark in oil pricing, representing the price of oil extracted in the United States, primarily from Texas and surrounding areas. WTI is widely used in the oil futures market for trading and contract settlements. The Index reflects the spot and futures prices for WTI crude oil as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchanges (NYMEX).

The S&P Global Composite PMI® is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index and tracks business trends across both manufacturing and service sectors. The Index is based on data collected from a representative panel of over 800 companies and follows variables such as sales, new orders, employment, inventories and prices. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in business activity while below 50 points to contraction.