Weekly Macro Minute

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GuideStone Capital Management Weekly Macro Minute

GuideStone® was originally established in 1918 to provide financial support and assistance for retired pastors and widows. Today, we continue to carry out that mission through the ministry of Mission:Dignity®. Here’s an encouraging devotional from one of our recipients:

Icon of a Bible
Icon of a BibleChrist in You, the Hope of Glory

Romans 8:28-31 (KJV)

Byron Williams authored this issue’s devotional. He served the Lord alongside his wife, Marilyn, for 40 years.

In my opinion, there are two profound statements Paul wrote in the New Testament: one in Colossians 1:27 and the other in Romans 8:28–31, 35. In Colossians 1:27, Paul states that the hope of glory is Christ in you. Notice he didn’t say in front, besides or even behind — but Christ in you, the hope of glory.

What a statement: Christ in you. Christianity starts inside of you and moves outward. This means you can feel, look, walk and talk like a little Christ.

I’ve met many people who say they don’t know God’s purpose for their lives. His purpose is that all may come to repentance.

Romans 8:28–31, 35 takes it deeper. To get the full meaning of Romans, consider an old story: In a country town, a large rock sat in front of the town hall. Every day for a week, an artist came with hammer and chisel and chipped away at the rock. One day, the mayor asked what he was doing. The artist replied simply, “I’m going to carve an eagle out of this rock.” The mayor asked, “Just how are you going to do that?” The answer that came was, “Well, I’ll chip away everything that doesn’t look like an eagle.”

With that in mind, let’s look at Romans 8 and see what God is writing through Paul’s pen to His children. Romans 8:28 (KJV) states, “And we know that all things work together for good to them that love God — to them who are called according to his purpose.” Now verse 29 (KJV) states, “For whom he did foreknow, he also did predestinate to be conformed to the image of his Son, that he might be the firstborn among many brethren.” It is God’s purpose for every one of His children to conform to the image of Christ.

Verse 28 says He is using all things: the good, the bad, the ugly and the disappointing.

In other words, God is going to chip away at everything in His children’s lives that doesn’t bear the image of Christ. He didn’t stop there but goes on in verses 30, 31 and 35 to say all that God has done for His children. “If God be for us, who can be against us?” The answer: Nobody! Then “who shall separate us from the love of God?” Nothing can! If that doesn’t light your fire, then your wood is wet.

May God’s Spirit strengthen both your heart and your mind and lead you through this year. What areas of your life might God be “chipping away” to make you more like Christ?

Want more devotionals? Our 40-day devotional book written by our Mission:Dignity recipients is available to order here.



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Across the Markets

Markets finish mixed following Federal Reserve rate hike
  • U.S. equities finished a volatile week mixed as investors digested the Fed’s first rate increase since 2023.
  • The S&P 500® slipped 0.1%, while the Russell 2000® declined 1.5%.
  • Technology-related stocks outperformed, supported by continued strength in AI and mega-cap technology names.
Sector leadership remains narrow
  • Health Care and Technology led gains within the market.
  • Utilities and Financials lagged as higher Treasury yields pressured rate-sensitive sectors.
  • AI-related news flow remained broadly constructive, continuing to support hardware and infrastructure companies.
Treasury yields move higher following Fed action
  • Treasury yields rose across the curve after the Fed increased rates and signaled additional tightening may be needed.
  • The 2-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.76%, while the 10-year ended the week at 5.01%.
  • Yield-curve flattening reflected the market’s view that additional policy tightening will weigh most heavily on shorter maturities.
Oil remains elevated
  • WTI crude closed near $102 per barrel, up slightly on the week.
  • Partial restoration of Saudi pipeline flows helped offset ongoing Middle East supply concerns.
  • Energy markets remain sensitive to geopolitical developments across the region.
European equities move lower
  • The Bank of England left rates unchanged but featured multiple votes in favor of additional tightening.
  • European stocks declined as investors reacted to central-bank policy signals and inflation concerns.
  • Inflation expectations across the region moved modestly higher.
Bank of Japan delivers another rate hike
  • Japanese policymakers increased rates to their highest level since 1995.
  • Despite the move, the yen weakened and bond yields fell as investors questioned the pace of future tightening.
China advances ahead of trade discussions
  • Chinese equities moved higher as investors looked ahead to the Trump-Xi summit.
  • Market expectations centered on potential developments regarding tariffs and trade policy. 

In the Economy

Federal Reserve raises rates
  • The Federal Reserve increased its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, marking its first rate hike in more than three years.
  • Policymakers raised their projected year-end policy rate and indicated inflation remains a primary concern.
  • Most committee members expect at least one additional rate increase this year.
Labor market remains firm
  • Initial jobless claims fell to 196,000 while continuing claims also declined.
  • Labor-market data continued to indicate limited layoffs and steady employment conditions.
Housing and manufacturing soften
  • Housing starts declined 2.6% in August.
  • Industrial production was unchanged for the month, while manufacturing output declined after several consecutive monthly gains.

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This information is prepared by GuideStone Capital Management, LLC®, a controlled affiliate of GuideStone Financial Resources®. This material is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Diversification is not a guarantee against loss. This information does not represent any GuideStone® product. Special risks are inherent in international investing, including those related to currency fluctuations and foreign, political and economic events.

The material represented has been obtained from sources we consider reliable, but which we cannot guarantee. It is subject to change without notice and is not intended to influence your investment decisions. This information discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic, market or political conditions and should not be construed as research or investment advice.

All indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Index performance assumes no taxes, transaction costs, fees or expenses. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization-weighted equity index composed of approximately 500 U.S. companies representing all major industries. The index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of its constituents. “Standard & Poor’s®”, “S&P 500®”, “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and have been licensed for use by GuideStone.

The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2,000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The index is completely reconstituted annually to ensure that larger stocks do not distort the performance and characteristics of the actual small-cap opportunity set. Frank Russell Company ("Russell") is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. "Russell®" is a trademark of Frank Russell Company. Neither Russell nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data and no party may rely on any Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data contained in this communication. No further distribution of Russell Data is permitted without Russell's express written consent. Russell does not promote, sponsor or endorse the content of this communication. Index used with permission. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Index is a benchmark in oil pricing, representing the price of oil extracted in the United States, primarily from Texas and surrounding areas. WTI is widely used in the oil futures market for trading and contract settlements. The Index reflects the spot and futures prices for WTI crude oil as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchanges (NYMEX).